Boyacá Chicó vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
36.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
COR
2 - 2
CHI
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
ENV
29%
31%
41%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 1
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
BUC
27%
29%
44%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
PAT
3 - 3
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2016 |
IND
3 - 0
FOR
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
HUI
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
EQU
0 - 1
FOR
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
LLA
35%
27%
39%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
COR
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |