Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 3-1
Boyacá Chicó vs Deportivo Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
ONC
5 - 2
CHI
59%
22%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
CHI
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
EQU
1 - 1
CHI
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
HUI
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
JUN
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 0
CAR
68%
20%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
CHI
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ONC
1 - 0
CAL
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAL
3 - 1
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |