Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 3-4
Boyacá Chicó vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
JUN
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAT
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
QUI
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ONC
4 - 0
TOL
52%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 0
ENV
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 1
AGU
56%
23%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |