Copa Colombia 1/16
Global 4-3
Boyacá Chicó vs Cúcuta Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 1
ENV
31%
28%
42%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
PAS
3 - 0
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 1
BUC
34%
30%
36%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
JAG
2 - 0
CHI
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
3 - 0
ALI
30%
28%
41%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
CUC
4 - 0
ORS
69%
21%
10%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
CUC
2 - 1
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
REA
0 - 0
CUC
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
CUC
3 - 0
UNI
68%
21%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
CUC
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |