Boyacá Chicó vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAT
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
UCH
3 - 0
CHI
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 0
CHI
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 0
REA
74%
18%
9%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
BLO
3 - 2
AUR
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
GRE
3 - 0
AUR
68%
20%
13%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 1
BOL
42%
27%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 2
GRE
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
AUR
2 - 0
REA
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |