Boyacá Chicó vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
55.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
18.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
13%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PAT
2 - 0
CHI
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
3 - 1
SFE
20%
28%
52%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 0
CHI
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 1
LEO
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
EQU
4 - 0
CHI
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
HUI
65%
22%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
ENV
2 - 2
NAC
30%
31%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
BUC
0 - 0
NAC
28%
30%
42%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
PAS
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
4 - 0
DEL
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |