Boyacá Chicó vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
25.8%
61.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
19.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.6%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 4
TOL
14%
26%
60%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 1
CHI
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
JAG
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 2
PAS
27%
29%
44%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
MUN
0 - 5
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
ONC
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
IVT
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |