Boyacá Chicó vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 3
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SFE
4 - 3
CHI
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
PAT
2 - 1
CHI
28%
25%
46%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
HUI
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
REA
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
TOL
2 - 1
ALI
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
PAT
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ALI
2 - 3
CUC
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
BUC
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
JUN
2 - 1
ALI
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |