Bowers and Pitsea vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
44.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
17º
22º
19º
49
13º
22º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
86 | 86 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
82 | 82 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
76 | 76 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
74 | 74 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
72 | 72 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
70 | 70 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
70 | 70 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
69 | 69 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
63 | 63 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
62 | 62 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
60 | 60 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
51 | 51 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
51 | 51 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
50 | 50 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
49 | 49 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
45 | 45 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
40 | 40 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
|
19º
|
34 | 34 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
34 | 34 |
20º
|
100% | |
|
21º
|
27 | 27 |
21º
|
100% | |
|
22º
|
25 | 25 |
22º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bowers and Pitsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 0
BOW
57%
22%
20%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
BOW
1 - 1
CAN
23%
21%
56%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ENF
2 - 0
BOW
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BOW
2 - 1
HER
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
BOW
0 - 2
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 0
BOW
57%
22%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 0
WIN
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 2
AVE
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 1
WIN
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
KIN
2 - 2
WIN
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |