Bowers and Pitsea vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bowers and Pitsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
BOW
0 - 1
CAR
31%
25%
43%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 1
BOW
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 1
BOW
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
BOW
0 - 1
HOR
33%
26%
41%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
BOW
0 - 2
COR
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
MAR
31%
24%
45%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LEA
0 - 0
MER
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
HOR
14%
19%
68%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +3 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
WOR
6 - 1
MER
89%
8%
3%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
MER
1 - 3
BOW
21%
22%
56%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |