Bowers and Pitsea vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bowers and Pitsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BOW
0 - 1
KIN
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
HOR
0 - 2
BOW
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BOW
2 - 2
HOR
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BOW
1 - 0
HOR
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BIS
0 - 2
BOW
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
STO
1 - 0
ALD
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
DOV
1 - 2
ALD
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ALD
0 - 1
HAL
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
WEA
2 - 2
ALD
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 3
ALD
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |