Bow Street vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
86.8%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.4%
0-4
10%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
14%
0-5
6.2%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
8.2%
0-6
3.2%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.1%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bow Street
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BST
6 - 5
CPD
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BST
2 - 3
LLA
8%
12%
80%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
AIR
3 - 0
BST
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 49 | 42 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
POR
3 - 1
BST
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BST
5 - 6
CAR
15%
20%
65%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
COL
2 - 1
PRE
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 4
COL
22%
23%
55%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
CEF
1 - 7
COL
20%
22%
58%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
COL
4 - 0
MOL
84%
11%
4%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
CON
0 - 3
COL
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | +1 |