Bow Street vs Buckley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
76.7%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.9%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bow Street
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
COR
0 - 4
BST
77%
14%
9%
|
6 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BST
1 - 4
COL
4%
9%
87%
|
8 | 50 | 42 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BST
6 - 5
CPD
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BST
2 - 3
LLA
8%
12%
80%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
AIR
3 - 0
BST
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 49 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Buckley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PRE
4 - 2
BUC
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
BUC
54%
22%
25%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BUC
0 - 3
MOL
49%
22%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
DEN
6 - 5
BUC
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
BUC
0 - 1
GRE
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |