Bourj vs Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
28.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
5º
5º
5
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BOU
2 - 1
SAL
78%
17%
6%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 2
ALA
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 1
BOU
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SEB
1 - 0
BOU
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 2
ALA
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
TAD
0 - 0
TRI
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 1
ALN
34%
28%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 0
TRI
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
HIK
1 - 1
TRI
48%
27%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 2
SAF
48%
26%
25%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |