Bourj vs Al Sahel Shabab analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
4º
5º
5º
10
4º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 22 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 0 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BOU
3 - 2
ALG
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BOU
0 - 1
ALN
38%
28%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
BOU
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
BOU
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ALN
1 - 1
BOU
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Al Sahel Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 0
SHA
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 2
ALA
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALG
0 - 2
SHA
24%
25%
52%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 4
ALN
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 1
SHA
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |