Bourj vs Salam Zgharta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
5º
5º
7
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 2
ALA
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 1
BOU
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SEB
1 - 0
BOU
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 2
ALA
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
BOU
2 - 1
TAD
49%
28%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Salam Zgharta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
SAL
0 - 6
ALA
12%
18%
70%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 1
ASB
13%
17%
70%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | +3 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
SAF
1 - 0
SAL
76%
16%
9%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SEB
4 - 0
SAL
82%
13%
5%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ALG
3 - 0
SAL
75%
15%
11%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |