Bourj vs Safa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BOU
0 - 2
TAD
51%
27%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BOU
1 - 3
HIK
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 3
ALA
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
BOU
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 0
SAF
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
SAF
2 - 0
SHA
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SAF
2 - 1
ABB
65%
20%
16%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SAF
4 - 1
RAC
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 1
SAF
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 0
SAF
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |