Bourj vs Safa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 0
BOU
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 1
ALA
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 1
ALA
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ALN
0 - 3
BOU
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 0
BOU
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 0
SAF
46%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
SAF
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
ALN
2 - 1
SAF
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 2
SAF
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 2
SAF
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |