Bourj vs Safa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 1
BOU
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ALA
4 - 0
BOU
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
ALA
3 - 0
BOU
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 0
ALN
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
RYA
0 - 4
BOU
10%
17%
72%
|
51 | 7 | 44 | +1 |
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
ALA
4 - 1
SAF
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SAF
0 - 0
ALA
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
SAF
1 - 2
ALA
30%
23%
47%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SAF
1 - 0
ALN
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 1
SAF
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |