Bourj vs Al Ahed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
5º
5º
24
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
BOU
2 - 1
HIK
38%
26%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 3
ALA
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 2
BOU
28%
28%
45%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TAD
0 - 1
BOU
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SAF
1 - 2
BOU
42%
28%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
TAD
0 - 1
ALA
26%
26%
47%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
SAF
0 - 4
ALA
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ALG
1 - 2
ALA
24%
24%
53%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 4
ALA
29%
27%
45%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 2
ALA
10%
19%
71%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |