Bourj vs Al Ahed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
58.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BOU
2 - 0
SEB
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SAL
0 - 1
BOU
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
SEB
2 - 3
BOU
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
NAH
0 - 2
BOU
16%
22%
63%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
BOU
1 - 0
SAI
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Al Ahed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 0
ALA
25%
23%
51%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 1
HIL
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2019 |
APR
0 - 1
ALA
26%
24%
50%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ALA
1 - 3
ALA
17%
25%
58%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALJ
41%
26%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |