Bourgoin-Jallieu vs Saint-Étienne II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
5º
2º
20
6º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
24 | 50 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 45 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 44 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 44 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 36 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 30 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 22 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
29.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
70% | 70.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 18% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CLE
2 - 6
BOU
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BOU
3 - 0
OVA
66%
18%
16%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 0
CDE
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ASJ
0 - 4
BOU
16%
19%
65%
|
43 | 8 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 3
BOU
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
SAE
0 - 0
CHA
42%
25%
34%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ESM
2 - 2
SAE
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SAE
1 - 0
SEY
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SAE
1 - 3
CLE
49%
23%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CDE
2 - 2
SAE
26%
22%
52%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |