Bourgoin-Jallieu vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
47%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
8º
13º
13º
52
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 0
BOU
78%
15%
6%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 0
BOU
64%
22%
14%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
2 - 2
TOU
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
BOU
62%
23%
15%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
2 - 2
FRE
21%
27%
53%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AUB
2 - 0
TOU
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
AUB
39%
26%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AUB
2 - 1
FRE
36%
27%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OLY
3 - 1
AUB
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
AUB
0 - 0
JUR
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |