Bourges 18 vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1993 |
REN
1 - 1
BOU
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
BOU
1 - 1
NIO
35%
29%
36%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1993 |
VAL
2 - 1
BOU
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
BOU
1 - 2
FCR
37%
29%
34%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
NIC
1 - 0
BOU
73%
19%
9%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1993 |
VAL
0 - 1
ASN
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
FCG
2 - 2
VAL
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1993 |
VAL
2 - 1
STL
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
ASB
1 - 0
VAL
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
VAL
1 - 1
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |