Bourges 18 vs Thiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BOU
3 - 1
VEN
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
EVI
1 - 1
BOU
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 1
SAI
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
COU
0 - 1
BOU
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BOU
2 - 0
CHA
67%
20%
14%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Thiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
THI
1 - 2
CLE
16%
22%
62%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ERN
3 - 1
THI
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
THI
0 - 3
PON
26%
27%
48%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
THI
0 - 2
CHA
20%
26%
54%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CSL
2 - 2
THI
69%
19%
13%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |