Bourges 18 vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
45.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
FCG
1 - 0
BOU
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
BOU
1 - 1
STL
34%
30%
36%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
ASB
1 - 2
BOU
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1993 |
BOU
2 - 0
CHA
37%
29%
34%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
STA
1 - 0
BOU
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
ASN
3 - 0
SED
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
ASN
1 - 0
FCG
77%
16%
8%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
STL
5 - 2
ASN
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1993 |
ASN
4 - 3
ASB
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
CHA
3 - 5
ASN
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |