Bourges 18 vs Moulins II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 1
BOU
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BOU
1 - 2
AND
48%
26%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
DIJ
3 - 1
BOU
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BOU
1 - 1
CLE
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
BOU
2 - 0
AUX
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Moulins II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MOU
1 - 2
CHA
35%
25%
40%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
MOU
0 - 1
BOU
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
MOU
2 - 2
EVI
37%
23%
39%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
MOU
1 - 1
CLE
31%
24%
45%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
SAE
6 - 0
MOU
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |