Bourges 18 vs Étoile Bleue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.3%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.4%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
7.5%
2.2%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
AVO
2 - 0
BOU
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 4
TOU
55%
21%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -3 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
BOU
1 - 2
CHA
41%
25%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
BOU
12%
18%
71%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 2
AVO
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -4 |
Matches
Étoile Bleue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
EBL
3 - 5
CHA
5%
11%
84%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
EBL
82%
12%
6%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
EBL
1 - 2
BLO
5%
13%
82%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ORL
3 - 0
EBL
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |