Bourges 18 vs ER Novillars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BOU
3 - 1
PON
44%
27%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BOU
0 - 1
THI
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BOU
3 - 1
VEN
40%
26%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
EVI
1 - 1
BOU
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 1
SAI
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
ER Novillars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ERN
1 - 0
CHA
22%
25%
53%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ERN
3 - 1
THI
50%
24%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CSL
1 - 0
ERN
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ERN
0 - 0
VEN
22%
24%
54%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
EVI
4 - 0
ERN
79%
14%
8%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |