Bourges 18 vs Chatellerault analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
BOU
1 - 1
ASB
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1993 |
CHA
0 - 1
BOU
68%
20%
13%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1993 |
BOU
3 - 3
STA
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1993 |
DUN
1 - 1
BOU
63%
22%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1993 |
BOU
0 - 2
BAS
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Chatellerault
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1993 |
MPL
1 - 0
CHA
91%
8%
1%
|
41 | 79 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1993 |
USB
0 - 4
CHA
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +3 |
| 06 Mar. 1993 |
LOR
0 - 0
CHA
85%
12%
4%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | 0 |