Bourges 18 vs Challans analysis


37	ELO	25
-9.4%	Tilt	-5%
22543º	General ELO ranking	7815º
520º	Country ELO ranking	190º
ELO win probability

69.9%

Bourges 18

17.4%

Draw

12.8%

Challans

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

69.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%

17.3%

Draw

0-0

3.7%

1-1

8%

2-2

4.4%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

17.3%

12.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bourges 18

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
05 Sep. 2015	STP 1 - 0 BOU 49% 25% 26%	38	39	1	0
29 Aug. 2015	BOU 1 - 2 BRE 47% 25% 28%	38	37	1	0
22 Aug. 2015	TOU 1 - 2 BOU 48% 24% 28%	38	38	0	0
23 May. 2015	SEL 1 - 5 BOU 33% 26% 41%	38	32	6	0
16 May. 2015	BOU 3 - 1 LPV 36% 27% 37%	36	41	5	+2