Bourges 18 vs Auxerre II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
FEU
0 - 5
BOU
33%
27%
41%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LPV
1 - 1
BOU
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BOU
0 - 0
CSL
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
BOU
0 - 0
BOU
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BOU
2 - 0
FCG
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Auxerre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
AUX
2 - 2
BOU
70%
18%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
AUX
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
AUX
3 - 1
MOU
66%
19%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
AUX
0 - 1
AND
55%
24%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
DIJ
2 - 2
AUX
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |