Bourges Foot 18 vs Le Poiré-sur-Vie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
1º
11º
9º
3
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
15º
|
2 | 67 |
1º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 55 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 49 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 48 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 47 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 47 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 45 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 39 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
8 | 38 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 37 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 36 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 31 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 27 |
15º
|
28% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 21 |
16º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
15% | 79% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges Foot 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 1
CHA
13%
18%
69%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 1
ORL
15%
20%
66%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 1
LRO
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STP
0 - 1
BOU
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 1
ANG
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Le Poiré-sur-Vie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
ACG
1 - 4
LPS
14%
19%
67%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LPS
2 - 1
NIO
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ASC
0 - 2
LPS
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LSD
0 - 2
LPS
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 0
LPS
57%
24%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |