Bourges Foot 18 vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
16º
9º
36
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
91.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 81.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges Foot 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
BOU
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 2
MOA
32%
27%
42%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 1
ANG
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ANG
1 - 3
BOU
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 0
STA
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
LOR
3 - 0
AND
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
LOR
4 - 0
VIE
72%
19%
9%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 3
BER
32%
29%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NAN
0 - 0
LOR
22%
27%
51%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 0
ANG
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |