Bourges Foot 18 vs Les Herbiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
14º
9º
37
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges Foot 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
BER
3 - 0
BOU
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ROM
0 - 2
BOU
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 1
GOB
31%
27%
43%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 0
TRE
37%
26%
38%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 1
STP
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Les Herbiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
LES
1 - 1
TRE
66%
21%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 1
LES
25%
26%
48%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LES
1 - 1
ROM
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
LES
1 - 1
BLO
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 2
LES
28%
27%
46%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |