Bourges Foot 18 vs Bergerac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
49.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
16º
9º
50
1º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
91.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges Foot 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 4
LOR
35%
27%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
BOU
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 2
MOA
32%
27%
42%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 1
ANG
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ANG
1 - 3
BOU
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
BER
2 - 0
AND
52%
27%
21%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ANG
0 - 2
BER
20%
27%
53%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
YZE
60%
26%
15%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 3
BER
32%
29%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
BER
2 - 2
MOA
45%
29%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |