Bourg-Péronnas vs FC Rouen 1899 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
12º
11º
22
7º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 52 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 51 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 50 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 48 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 47 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 42 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 38 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 32 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 30 |
17º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourg-Péronnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
BOU
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 1
NÎM
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 2
RVA
66%
20%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 0
BOU
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 1
AUB
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
FCR
3 - 1
USB
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
DIJ
1 - 0
FCR
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FCR
11 - 1
SGQ
82%
13%
6%
|
64 | 8 | 56 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
FCR
0 - 0
SOC
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
FCR
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |