Bourg-Péronnas vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
59.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourg-Péronnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
BOU
0 - 1
RED
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
MON
1 - 2
BOU
5%
12%
83%
|
64 | 9 | 55 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
BOU
2 - 1
NIO
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
MET
5 - 0
BOU
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
BOU
4 - 1
PFC
55%
26%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
GAZ
73%
18%
9%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
SLI
2 - 4
MAR
34%
24%
42%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 2
MPL
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
REN
0 - 1
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 3
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |