Bourg-Péronnas vs Mâcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
2º
1º
28
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourg-Péronnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BOB
2 - 2
BOU
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 0
BRC
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 1
BOU
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 0
COL
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 4
FLE
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Mâcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 0
FUR
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 4
MAC
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FEI
0 - 2
MAC
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 2
AUX
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ESW
1 - 1
MAC
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |