Bourg-Péronnas vs Colmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
2º
1º
31
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourg-Péronnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 4
FLE
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FEI
1 - 3
BOU
15%
23%
63%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FUR
1 - 0
BOU
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 1
AUX
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
ESW
1 - 1
BOU
13%
21%
66%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Colmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
ESW
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
FUR
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 2
COL
30%
25%
44%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BIE
2 - 1
COL
25%
25%
49%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
COL
1 - 2
FEI
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |