Botswana Defence Force XI vs Orapa United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
40.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BOT
5 - 1
TAF
67%
21%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 1
TOW
23%
26%
52%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
SES
1 - 1
BOT
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 2
POL
44%
29%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
ORA
2 - 0
BOT
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Orapa United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
ORA
0 - 1
PRI
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2019 |
BRH
0 - 2
ORA
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
ORA
2 - 0
GAL
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
EXT
1 - 3
ORA
22%
27%
51%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
ORA
2 - 0
BOT
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |