CHAN Segunda Ronda Final
Global 2-3
Botswana vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
55.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
ZAM
21%
27%
52%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
LSO
1 - 2
BOT
29%
29%
41%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
RSA
2 - 2
BOT
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SYC
1 - 3
BOT
14%
21%
65%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 0
SYC
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
ZAM
1 - 4
CIV
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 3
ZAM
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
CMR
2 - 1
ZAM
61%
24%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
ZAM
21%
27%
52%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
ZIM
0 - 0
ZAM
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |