Botswana vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
51.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
LSO
1 - 2
BOT
29%
29%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
RSA
2 - 2
BOT
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SYC
1 - 3
BOT
14%
21%
65%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 0
SYC
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
ANG
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
ZIM
0 - 0
ZAM
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ZAM
2 - 2
MWI
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ZAM
4 - 1
NAM
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MOZ
1 - 0
ZAM
17%
24%
60%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
GNB
2 - 1
ZAM
6%
12%
83%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | -1 |