Botswana vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
52.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 1
MTN
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
COD
2 - 0
BOT
76%
17%
8%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
TAN
2 - 0
BOT
34%
28%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
ANG
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BFA
2 - 1
BOT
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
RSA
1 - 2
ZAM
55%
27%
18%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
ZAM
0 - 1
MOZ
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
GAB
0 - 0
ZAM
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ZIM
0 - 0
ZAM
33%
28%
40%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CMR
1 - 1
ZAM
64%
23%
13%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |