Botswana vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
51%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
KEN
1 - 2
BOT
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
LSO
3 - 3
BOT
16%
26%
58%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 0
SWZ
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 2
CTA
75%
18%
7%
|
66 | 17 | 49 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
ETH
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ZIM
0 - 2
ZAM
22%
25%
54%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
RSA
0 - 0
ZAM
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
ZAM
3 - 1
MOZ
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
SDN
65%
23%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ZAM
4 - 0
LSO
75%
18%
7%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |