Botswana vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
54%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
BOT
1 - 2
GUI
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
BOT
90%
8%
2%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2005 |
BOT
0 - 0
ANG
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
BOT
0 - 0
ANG
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2005 |
BOT
0 - 0
COD
23%
26%
51%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2006 |
ZAM
1 - 0
RSA
30%
24%
45%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2006 |
ZAM
1 - 2
GUI
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
TUN
4 - 1
ZAM
69%
19%
13%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
ZIM
1 - 1
ZAM
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
ZAM
4 - 1
COD
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |