Botswana vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
LSO
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
BFA
2 - 0
BOT
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
SEN
3 - 0
BOT
69%
21%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
TUN
18%
26%
56%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
EGY
2 - 0
BOT
81%
14%
6%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
NIG
1 - 1
MOZ
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MOZ
0 - 1
ZAM
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
CPV
1 - 0
MOZ
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MOZ
2 - 0
CPV
28%
28%
45%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
MOZ
1 - 1
NIG
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |