Botswana vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
RSA
0 - 0
BOT
69%
21%
11%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
MOZ
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
LSO
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
BFA
2 - 0
BOT
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
SEN
3 - 0
BOT
69%
21%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2015 |
MOZ
3 - 2
MWI
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
MOZ
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
NIG
1 - 1
MOZ
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MOZ
0 - 1
ZAM
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
CPV
1 - 0
MOZ
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |