Botswana vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 0
BOT
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 0
LSO
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
ZIM
1 - 0
BOT
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
BOT
0 - 2
MOZ
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
CIV
4 - 0
BOT
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MOZ
1 - 1
CIV
20%
25%
56%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
MOZ
3 - 0
SWZ
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 2
MOZ
23%
23%
55%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
BOT
0 - 2
MOZ
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
MOZ
3 - 0
MAD
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |