CAF Qualifying 2da Ronda Final
Global 3-1
Botswana vs Guinea-Bisáu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
LSO
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
4 - 2
TAN
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
BDI
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
BDI
0 - 0
BOT
27%
28%
45%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 4
SWZ
71%
20%
10%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea-Bisáu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
GNB
3 - 1
CTA
78%
15%
6%
|
55 | 17 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CTA
0 - 0
GNB
13%
21%
66%
|
55 | 16 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
CMR
1 - 0
GNB
90%
8%
2%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
GNB
0 - 1
CMR
6%
18%
76%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
TOG
1 - 0
GNB
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |